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A long wooden pier extends over calm lake water under a blue sky.
Race Finder

IRONMAN 70.3 North Carolina.
Your best day in Wilmington.

The latest published 2026 course used a point-to-point channel swim, a flat ride to Wilmington and two run loops. The 2027 date and route await organiser announcement.

Wilmington, a pier over the water.

Course
Swim 1.9 km · Bike 90 km · Run 21.1 km
Historical air
12–25°C

What could you race?

I’m Tom, the coach behind Sense Endurance Coaching. Tell me where you are now and I’ll show you what a strong day in Wilmington could look like.

This prediction uses · 1.9 km swim · 90 km bike · 21.1 km run

Let’s build your race

Let’s build your race.

Your age and race category help me estimate where that performance could place you. They don’t determine how fast I think you can race.

Change units

Let a quick swim stay a quick swim.

The 2026 course guide described an incoming tide through the Wrightsville Beach channel, followed by the Cape Fear crossing and two trips around Greenfield Lake. Treat that route as prior-edition context until the organiser publishes the 2027 date and course.

Wrightsville Beach · channel swim

Follow the channel without chasing the clock.

An incoming tide helps everyone in the channel, so settle into your own rhythm rather than racing the rolling start.

Seed honestly. Settle into rhythm.

Beach to countryside · opening bike

Start your own plan after the tide-assisted swim.

A flat, fast point-to-point course invites riding above plan from the first mile. Hold your target watts.

Watch the watts, not the speed. Fuel early.

Towards Wilmington · remaining bike

Finish the ride with your run routine ready.

Finish your nutrition before crossing the Cape Fear River into town. Two lollipop run loops still need the energy you save on the bike.

Stay aero. Finish planned nutrition.

Greenfield Lake · first run loop

Use the shaded section to settle, not surge.

Let the first shaded loop around Greenfield Lake feel easy, not fast.

Easy first aid station. Check posture.

Historic Wilmington · second loop and finish

Build towards the riverfront only when form holds.

Only progress once the first loop has held together, saving something for the finish across from the USS North Carolina.

Stay tall. Choose the last move late.

What to check in race week

The 2027 date and course are awaiting announcement. Once the organiser publishes them, confirm swim entry and exit, transition transport, the Cape Fear crossing and the Greenfield Lake route before planning race week.

Forecast statusToo early for a forecast

A race-day forecast is not meaningful yet; check back closer to the event.

Temperature
11.9–24.9°CDew point centred on 13.4°C
Wind and gusts
12.1 km/hGusts up to 39.2 km/hPrevailing direction NNW
Rain likelihood
Up to 55%Wet-surface uncertainty retained

Historical baseline, 2019–2025 · Open-Meteo historical archive · Updated 2026-09-13.Historical comparison only. This is not a forecast for 2026.

Race-week email is available once the organiser confirms the event date.

Build the legs.
Practise the decisions.

A finish range gives you something to work towards. The preparation is specific to this race: Training has to make a flat point-to-point ride patient and the second Greenfield Lake loop as well fuelled as the first.

I’m Tom. With Sense Endurance Coaching, I’ll build that preparation around your life, follow how you respond and adjust the work as you get closer to Wilmington.

Explore coaching
Trisutto certified80/20 Endurance certifiedBrett Sutton’s Coach the Coach programme

Training on your own? See half distance plans

Event formatOrganiser’s edition information

PhotographyMark TeacheyPexels Licence · resized, cropped and monochrome